Da se malo vratimo na hard-core ekonomiju...
S' obzirom da su naši novinari jako slabi ekonomisti, evo vanjska ocjena BiH situacije.
Jeste da malo kasno pišem, jer je MMF-ov Article IV izvještaj (konsultacije koje se rade svake godine sa vladama) za BiH izašao krajem oktobra, ali evo čisto par pokazatelja makroekonomskog stanja u BiH. Ovo je bilo prije usvajanja budžeta BiH / RS, pa nisam siguran kakvi su dogovori sa MMF-om / Svjetskom Bankom postignuti nakon toga, ali koliko je meni poznato, nije bilo naknadnih pregovora o finansiranju.
Označio sam važne stavke radi lakšeg čitanja:
Pored toga, MMF-ovi prijedlozi i komentari se mogu naći ovdje:
http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2015/pr154841.htmGlavne tačke (ništa neočekivano, ali fino rezimirano):
Citiraj:
Executive Board Assessment
Executive Directors welcomed the recent pickup in Bosnia and Herzegovina’s economic activity following last year’s devastating floods and an unfavorable external environment. Directors commended the authorities for maintaining sound macroeconomic policies, and noted that the widening of external and fiscal imbalances, as well as the impact on the banking system, were much more limited than initially feared, despite the substantial damage and hardship caused by the natural disaster. Directors noted, however, that the economy still faces major challenges, and called on the authorities to accelerate critical reforms in order to achieve more sustainable growth and reduce high unemployment.
They agreed that fiscal policy will need to strike a balance between resuming consolidation—to place public debt on a firm downward path—and supporting the nascent recovery. Improving revenue collection, enhancing the quality and efficiency of public expenditure, and containing non-priority spending to create room for infrastructure investment are important priorities.
They recommended that financial policies address remaining vulnerabilities in the banking system, particularly among domestically-owned banks, while creating a stronger financial sector safety net and enabling banks’ balance sheet repair. They welcomed the authorities’ commitment to address the remaining shortcomings in the framework for anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism.
They stressed that, more than anything, strong progress is needed to complete the still largely unfinished structural reform agenda, including by further improving the business environment and the functioning of the labor market, to attract investment, raise potential output, and reduce high unemployment.